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Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Politics Vol. $40,704 50 traders

Pete Buttigieg85%
Gavin Newsom80%
Andy Beshear78%
J.D. Vance76%
$40,704 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

71
Chance
Gavin Newsom
80%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
69%
Pete Buttigieg
85%
Josh Shapiro
69%
Wes Moore
60%
Stephen A. Smith
19%
Kamala Harris
66%
Gretchen Whitmer
32% ▼ 3
Andy Beshear
78%
Jon Ossoff
54%
Mark Cuban
19%
J.B. Pritzker
67%
Raphael Warnock
30%
Cory Booker
66% ▼ 1
Tim Walz
7%
Michelle Obama
16% ▼ 1
Mark Kelly
62% ▼ 1
Rahm Emanuel
74%
Gina Raimondo
20% ▲ 1
Zohran Mamdani
13%
Roy Cooper
13% ▲ 1
John Fetterman
21%
Jared Polis
35%
Jon Stewart
17%
Barack Obama
9%
Hillary Clinton
11%
Liz Cheney
21%
Bernie Sanders
16%
Phil Murphy
20%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
14%
George Clooney
27% ▲ 1
Chelsea Clinton
4%
MrBeast
14%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
16%
Oprah Winfrey
19% ▲ 1
Andrew Yang
39%
Beto O’Rourke
26%
Kim Kardashian
13% ▼ 1
Donald Trump
28%
J.D. Vance
76%
Marco Rubio
48%
Tulsi Gabbard
25%
Glenn Youngkin
28% ▼ 1
Donald Trump Jr.
27%
Ron DeSantis
75%
Nikki Haley
36%
Vivek Ramaswamy
31%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
49% ▼ 1
Greg Abbott
17% ▲ 2
Brian Kemp
26% ▲ 1
Byron Donalds
37%
Elise Stefanik
19% ▼ 29
Josh Hawley
23% ▲ 1
Ted Cruz
74% ▼ 1
Elon Musk
17%
Matt Gaetz
47%
Katie Britt
28%
John Thune
18% ▲ 1
Kristi Noem
48% ▼ 1
Mike Pence
17%
Tucker Carlson
19% ▼ 2
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
28%
Ivanka Trump
49% ▼ 1
Tom Brady
13%
Rand Paul
36%
Steve Bannon
26%
Erika Kirk
10% ▲ 1
Marjorie Taylor Greene
23% ▲ 1
Don Lemon
47% ▲ 2
Candace Owens
50% ▲ 2

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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